Capitals vs Panthers Game 5 Prediction, Picks

After alternating wins during the first four games of the Best of 7 series, the Washington Capitals and Florida Panthers will play a pivotal 5 p.m. game Tuesday at 7:30 p.m. ET.

Florida is a big favorite – 220 to lead 3-2, but it’s important to note the context in those odds. Namely, the Panthers closed at -245 for Game 1 and -265 for Game 2, which means that the market has adjusted to Washington’s doing well over the first four games.

Capitals vs Panthers Game 5 Odds

Odds provided by PointsBet

diffuse: WAS +1.5 (-131) vs. FLA -1.5 (+110)

money line: WAS (+190) vs. FLA (-236)

Total: more than 6.5 (-129) | Under 6.5 (+105)

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Capitals vs Panthers Game 5 Predictions

As the post-season hits, the general consensus has been that the Capitals will need to implement a near-perfect defensive plan to slow the Presidents Cup winners and so far, it has worked. Florida had the record for most goals scored in the Capital Era in a regular season, but the Cats scored only 11 times during their first four games against Washington.

Offense based on a dynamic transitional game and team speed, the Panthers struggled hard to get past the neutral zone against the hats. Florida’s slower pace means the Panthers generate fewer scoring chances when individual men rush out and have to instead rely on their forward check and turn to grind the defense. While the Panthers can play this technique to achieve some success, it is not their preferred method and they take their greatest strength.

All season, the Panthers have been the best NHL team at generating high-risk scoring chances at 5-on-5, averaging 11.4 per game. Capitals set Florida at just 35 for the entire series, with an average of 8.75.

Florida Panthers vs Washington Capitals - Game 5
Washington Capitals
Getty Images

Another notable development in this competition is the objective battle. Both teams had a lot of skeptics when it came to net guards, but both Sergey Bobrovsky and Ilya Samsonov seem to be doing well. Samsonov, who did not start Matches 1 and 2, was particularly sharp with 0.949 savings and +3.4 goal saved above expectations (GSAx) in his three appearances.

With powerful goalkeeping and defense that makes life miserable on leopards running and shotgun, Capitals have done a great job of turning these coin flip games. And that’s all you ask when you bet on an underdog.

It is a bet that you lose more than you win, but that does not mean that it is a wrong bet. The Capitals hasn’t given bettors any reason to jump off the bandwagon yet, so there is still value to the underdogs in Game 5.

Best bet in the NHL for Wednesday: Capitals +180 or better (+185 on BetMGM)

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