Padres, Joe Musgrove about to extend

7:20 pm: Heyman reports (on Twitter) that San Diego and Musgrove are close to an agreement on a five-year deal that includes nearly $100 million.

7:14 pm: Extension of discussions between Padres and Joe Musgrove “It’s gaining momentum,” reports Dennis Lane from Athlete (Twitter link). The two sides have yet to reach an agreement, but Lin notes there is mutual optimism that a deal can be reached by next week.

An overall optimism has prevailed over the past few weeks. Kevin Asey of the San Diego Union-Tribune reports that there was a belief on both sides that a deal could be struck before the unofficial start of the season’s second half. It clearly didn’t happen, but it clearly didn’t purposefully discourage or hamper conversations.

Terms currently under discussion are unclear, but New York Post’s John Heyman reports that Friars made an offer about Break that is similar to the free agent deals given to Kevin Gussman And the Ruby Ray. Gausman secured a five-year, $110 million deal from Blue Jays. Ray signed the Mariners for a five-year, $115 million deal that also included the opportunity to withdraw after the 2024 season.

Aside from the three-year record-breaking deal for Max Scherzer, Gausman and Ray’s contracts represented the most important commitments for free agent starters in the last off-season. That makes a reasonable point of comparison for Padres, but Musgrove and his representatives at Full Circle Sports Management could reasonably seek to outdo those labels. San Diego righty holds a low of 2.63 ERAs by 109 1/3 innings this season, just below the 2.81 and 2.84 mark that Gausman and Ray set last year. Gausman and Ray both missed bat at a better clip than Musgrove, but the latter has a slightly better walking rate than the 2021 free agents.

Musgrove’s podium season is shaping up to be similar to that of Gausman and Ray, and Musgrove may have a better track record in the long run. Ray had a bad year during the shortened 2020 campaign in which he posted 6.62 PM. He’s shown flashes of top rotors earlier in his career, but his home control and run rates have fluctuated by a fair amount. Gausman had a very strong short season, but struggled during the entire previous campaign. Musgrove has a sub 4.00 ERA in each of its past three years, with a cumulative number of 3.08 through 57 starting since the beginning of 2020.

A new contract will kick off the season for 30-year-old Musgrove, giving him a strong case for a six-year deal at an annual rate that would push him above the 110mm-115mm range for an overall warranty. At the same time, it would be understandable if Musgrove were less concerned about maximizing his earning potential to stay with the Padres. He is a native of the San Diego area and has been open about his desire to stay with the organization. It is not uncommon for players of this type to discuss extending the season when they are only months away from the open market.

The allure of the Padres in trying to keep Musgrove around is fairly obvious. He’s one of the best shooters in the sport, and the monks can lose Shawn Mind And the Mike Clevenger Free agency this winter. Blake Snell And the Yo Darwish Only under contract for two more seasons, and Nick Martinez He can withdraw from his deal after any of the next three years. Mackenzie Gor It’s the only major building block for the spin that’s sure to be about two seasons away from now, and the Monks could build a long-term staff around the Southern boys and Musgrove if they can finish the extension.

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