Houston prepares for the post-season as the regular season ends with a record 99-51, including a four-game winning streak. This team has one of the deepest rosters in the league and didn’t blink when Carlos left Correa, knowing that the farm system could replace him.
They scratched and clawed Baltimore to keep themselves in the heat of the playoffs, but time was running out. With a 77-71 record, Baltimore is fourth in the East, four games from last in the AL Wild Card. With only 14 games left to play, each game should be treated like a playoff.
Here are the Astros-Orioles MLB odds, Courtesy of FanDuel.
MLB Odds: Astros-Orioles Odds
Houston Astros: -1.5 (-106)
Baltimore Orioles: +1.5 (-113)
Above: 7 (-104)
Under: 7 (-118)
Why the Astros can cover the spread
Justin Verlander is back after missing two weeks with a calf injury. In his first start since returning from the wounded list, Verlander fired five stopping rounds, allowed no hits while walking once and hit nine. In the season, Verlander went 17-3 with 1.78 ERA and 163 strokes in 157 runs. In his last seven starts, Verlander hit a 1.55 ERA with 46 strikes in 40.2 innings. Verlander’s 4.5 percent walking rate ranks him at 96 percent in the league. The hitter hit just 0.185 against Verlander. Houston’s Bullpen had the league’s best ERA at 2.69, with 522 strokes in 455.1 innings. Bryan Abreu threw nearly 50 percent of the sliders, holding his hits to 0.16 on average against this court. Abreu owns a 2.05 ERA with 81 strokes in 57 rounds. Rafael Monteiro has 13 saves, with a 2.30 ERA and 67 hits in 62.2 runs. Ryne Stanek held a batting average of 179, with a 1.07 ERA in 54 games. Closer Ryan Pressly was fantastic, making 30 saves, 2.91 ERA, 57 hits in the 43.1 inning.
Jordan Alvarez leads attacking with an average of 302 hits and 37 home runs, ranking second with 94 RBI, adding 24 doubles. Another left-handed footballer, Kyle Tucker, leads the team with 102 RBI bases and 22 stolen bases, finishing second with 29 home runs and adding 27 doubles. Jose Altove is third on the team with 25 home runs, and he is third with 33 doubles. Alex Bergman leads the team with 38 doubles, has walked more than he’s scored, and has made 21 home runs while driving in 88 times. Yuli Guriel is second with 37 doubles, adding eight home runs. Jeremy Pena proved to be a competent replacement for Carlos Correa, with 19 home points and 19 doubles in the junior season. Expect a warm welcome for Trey Mancini, who will play in Baltimore for the first time as a visitor. Houston is fifth in the league with 201 points at home and tied for seventh with 261 double goals.
Why the oriole can cover the spread
Will send Baltimore rookie Kyle Pradesh up the hill in this one. Pradesh struggled for a record 3-7 with 5.05 ERA and 93 strokes in 101.2 innings across 20 starts. Bradish was bought from the Los Angeles Angels in the Dylan Bundy trade prior to the 2020 season. Bradish had some bad luck, as his ERA forecast was at 4.54, which means that based on the hit ball data, Bradish should be more successful. The Bullpen in Baltimore has performed impressively all season, ranking eighth with a 3.31 ERA in 580 innings. Setting man Dillon Tate made a 2.67 ERA in 61 appearances, keeping hits at 0.22 hitting average. Lefty Cionel Perez, picked up by the exemption wire in November, was exceptional, with a 1.36 ERA in 61 innings. Closer again, Felix Bautista, a three-digit Fastball and magic door, hit a 1.71 ERA with 14 passes and 83 hits in 63 runs.
Anthony Santander is the new feared hitter in this squad. The switch batting player leads the team with 27 home runs, ranking second with 79 RBI and adding 23 doubles. Austin Hayes leads the team with 32 doubles, adding 15 home runs. Ryan Mountcastle is second on the team with 80 RBI points and 22 home points. Rookie catcher Adley Rutschman is second on the team with 31 doubles, leading the team with 57 walks and adding 11 home runs in just 100 games. It’s safe to say that calling Rutschman was the right move. Jorge Matteo and Cedric Mullins lead the team with 31 stolen bases each, with Mullins adding 30 doubles and 14 home runs, while Matteo has 13 home points.
Ultimate Astros-Orioles for prediction and selection
Verlander is better than you bet on him in this game.
Final Astros-Orioles prediction and selection: Houston -1.5 (-106), over 7 (-104)