BetMGM: Will Kyle Larson repeat his Nashville dominance?

2021 ally 400 It may have been the first NASCAR Cup Series race in the Nashville, Tennessee metropolitan area in nearly 30 years – and the first at the Nashville Superspeedway – but the 300-lap race had a familiar feel as Kyle Larson dominated for his third consecutive Cup Series win.

Geographical and itinerary familiarity is now at a minimum of the 2022 Ally 400, although there is no competitive affinity; Larsson arrives with 14 winless streaks as parity dominates the 2022 season.

During his first 16 races, Larson was one of 11 drivers to have at least one win, eight of them just shy of the record set in 2001, when Jeff Gordon drove 19 different drivers with at least one win. Entering the Ally 400 last year, Larson was one of nine drivers to have at least one win, riding in a winning streak – three of which are the All-Star Race – and was one of the year’s top candidates.

in NASCAR odds At BetMGM, Larson (+225) drove only nine drivers with chances of +3000. And while he’s the favorite again this year, the Cup Series holders are only +500, and 15 other drivers are better than +3000, and as of Thursday, no driver has more than 7% of the race winner’s ticket share.

“She gives us a new car and limited practice every weekend, and that definitely opens up an opportunity for a lot of guys to discover some things, and some don’t,” Ryan Blaney He said Before the Coca-Cola 600. “I don’t know if that will last as the races and years go by with this car, but right now, it’s crazy.”

Related: Weekend schedule in Nashville | Active Winners in Nashville

The parity allowed, in part, for Bellani to remain in the competition for the points lead despite not winning in the first half. He is one of 16 drivers to have at least one stage win – with him winning four stages in the Cup Series – and one of 33 drivers to have driven at least one lap (385).

The final group is led by William Byron, who, along with Kyle Larson, highlighted the highlights of this week’s BetMGM matches:

Kyle Larson (-165) vs. William Byron (+130)

After the practice sessions caught fire, Hendrick Motorsports’ teammates raced in the top five for nearly the entire race last year. They are back this year as Byron seeks to become the first driver in the Cup Series with three wins.

Byron has finished in the top 10 since winning the Blue-Emu Maximum Pain Relief 500 at Martinsville Speedway two weeks ago at Sonoma Raceway (ninth) but, like Blaney and others, remained in contention to enter the second half.

Byron has a lower race winner share (7.9%) than Larson (11.9%), but leads the field in ticket sharing (6.9%) and dominates the featured match divisions; He got 67% of tickets and 95% of the handle against Larson, who dropped from -175 favorites to -165.

Tyler Riddick (-175) vs. Austin Dillon (+135)

Neither Tyler Riddick nor Austin Dillon have done particularly well in the ultra-high speed field in recent years. Since 2019, the pair have ranked 30th and 18th, respectively, in the average driver’s rating. However, they both finished in the top 20 in Nashville last year, and Riddick has already made career highs in his third and top five seasons in 2022.

Fans love Dillon in this match, as the 32-year-old hits the three-time Cup Series winner with 67% of tickets and 85% of handle, raising his additional odds from +145 to +135 (and Riddick’s odds from -185 to -175). ).

Ross Chastain (-175) vs. Daniel Suarez (+140)

Ross Chastain didn’t really threaten Larson last June and finished just over four seconds behind, but nonetheless finished second in his first career. And with two wins and four more top three wins in 2022, the 29-year-old former short-track prodigy is having an exciting season.

Prior to his victory at the Talladega Superspeedway in April, Chastain struggled with breakneck speed. He only had two top ten finishes and 26 laps in 14 starts. Now, No. 1 Chevy routinely sits between betting favorites — and general favorites, as it is this week with the fifth highest ticket stake (4.2%) — regardless of the track.

Chastain has 80% of the tickets and 90% of the handle against Suárez, who has only secured one of the top 10 trophies in the superspeedways championship series.

Kevin Harvick (-135) vs. Eric Almerola (+105)

Kevin Harvick’s frustrating 2021 season included a fifth-place finish – one of the top 24 teams in a winless season – in Nashville, where he and Richard Childress Racing won the Xfinity Series in 2007.

Neither Harvick nor Aric Almirola was selected in this week’s general selection – a combined 3.5% of the race winner’s handle – and their featured competition is 50/50 split tickets.

View updated Ally 400 odds and more NASCAR betting odds at BetMGM Online sports book.

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