Blue Jays face a dilemma along the Alec Manoah stretch

The Toronto Blue Jays haven’t snatched a playoff place yet, but they’re thinking about October, as they plot several scenarios that could play out during the last 13 games of the regular season.

One of their toughest decisions concerns their owners, Alec Manouh. Do they promote it as often as possible to give them the best chance of moving up the rankings, or do they hold their first post-season lead?

This follows a comment made by Blue Jays manager John Schneider, telling Sportsnet’s Shea Davide that the team will choose to use Manoah in the regular season final if needed to help them secure their stadium advantage in the Wild Card series. .

It’s a delicate situation for the Blue Jays, as they pushed their stocks to start Saturday’s game against the Tampa Bay Rays, instead of on Friday. He’ll get an extra day of rest to help keep his arm, which at this rate might beat the 200-stroke mark.

But Schneider’s comment infuriated some fans, as using Manoah at the end of the regular season against the Baltimore Orioles would knock him out of the race in the first round of the Wild Card series.

In this scenario, Toronto was assigned the role of Kevin Gusman, Ross Stripling, and Jose Berrios for a three-game series. And based on Piraeus’ most recent outing, the Blue Jays have a lot to consider.

If Blue Jays find themselves in a scenario where they are playing the last game of the Wild Card series, Mr. Hyde of Berrios raises his ugly head as he did in last night’s disaster at Tropicana Field, and then What is happening?

Part of the calculus is likely to have to do with the roles assigned to Manoah. Late in the season, the team needs to do everything they can to keep their arm in these high-impact games. An extra day of rest can be the boost he needs to work at his best.

But it’s dangerous for the Blue Jays to throw out their best pitcher from the first round. There is a significant drop in reliability from Manoah-Gausman-Stripling to Gausman-Stripling-Berrios.

For the sake of argument, let’s say the Blue Jays play for a home advantage in Game 162. They choose to have Manoah start the game, they say they lost the match, they didn’t just lose him in the post-season opening round, now they’re playing on the road, the same thing they were They try to avoid it.

It’s an account that evolves day by day for Blue Jays, whose magic number is eight to clinch a cut-off point. The earliest they can secure a post-season berth is next Monday, but that will require winning four games in a row, and taking down the next four Orioles as well.

This Catch 22 goes the other way, too; What if the Blue Jays get a break point in Game 162, they choose to give the ball to Mitch White at the end of the regular season series, lose, but go out on the road with Manoah in Game 1?

This seems like a safer option for playing the long game, but banking on White with the home field advantage on the line is not a safe bet at all. Not that they will penalize that game by starting white, but that will better line up their starting rotation against their opponent in the post-season.

However, even if the Blue Jays head to Seattle or Tampa Bay for the Wild Card series, in this case at least they’ll have their best shooters to start the series off: Manoah and Gusman. Besides, the Gausman road splitting this season is a lot better than he is at home anyway, and Manoah is the same pitcher at home and on the road this season.

Unless the Blue Jays feel strongly that they are willing to do anything to play under the Rogers Center’s roof in terms of the home court advantage, it looks like a scenario that could backfire on this team.

If the Blue Jays emerge as the first wild card team, they will host their first post-season games at home since 2016. Anyone who watched what happened with this team in 2015 and 2016 knows the fans at Rogers Center are electric. But is it all worth the risk just for having these home games north of the border?

Behind the scenes, there are a myriad of factors that go into decisions like these for an organization. It’s not a decision to be taken lightly, and the Blue Jays will put a lot of thought and care into the final selection of Manoah and the team.

All of this could be moot anyway if Blue Jays finishes strong and distances himself from Rays and Mariners in the Wild Card race. Or they can sit comfortably in the third Wild Card spot and have no say in the matter.

But if it boils down to the last game of the regular season, and the Blue Jays can determine their fate by winning and securing the best Wild Card spot, then one can understand why they’d take the shot.

Blue Jays are damned if they do and damned if they don’t. If Manoah made 162 in the game and Toronto lost the Wild Card series, people would guess at that decision. Conversely, if Jays saves Manoah in the opening match of Wild Card, but they play on the road and lose the streak, people will criticize that decision as well.

It’s all about trust. Blue Jays should trust the stallions that have carried them this far. From the outside looking inward, reducing the stakes in the playoffs It seems Like the most important thing here, but trusting the players to get the job done is a bet most teams will gladly do.

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