NFL Betting 2022: Week 12 betting spreads before the lines move | NFL and NCAA betting picks

• Back the Detroit Lions (+9.5): Detroit’s offense has surprisingly outperformed Buffalo lately with expected points added.

• Betting on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3): The Browns defense is struggling to contain opponents, and the Buccaneers are resting well after a bye.

New users who bet $10 or more on BetMGM will receive a free one-year subscription to PFF+ – valued at $79.99.

Estimated reading time: 5 minutes

Editor’s note: Betting lines are accurate as of Sunday Post Football.

Detroit Lions (+9.5) vs. Buffalo Bills

Why bet:

Detroit actually got a better lead than Buffalo on offense with projected points added per game since Week 6, and the Bills were without standout defenseman Gregory Russo, linebacker Trey DeVius White and linebacker Tremaine Edmonds in Week 11 against the Cleveland Browns, allowing Jacoby Brissett to throw for 7.5 yards. Attempting each with Amari Cooper is open all afternoon.

Detroit’s offensive line is a gritty unit that can neutralize the Bills’ pass rush to some extent, especially on the inside, as they performed admirably in Week 11 against the New York Giants duo of Dexter Lawrence and Leonard Williams that wreaked havoc on opponents. season.

There is an emotional or narrative component to this bet, although, of course, we want to prioritize logical reasoning. The Bills players had to deal with the real-world consequences of five to six feet of snow late this week, and literally had to make their way to the Buffalo airport on Saturday afternoon to fly to Detroit for their Week 11 game. Buffalo for a few days before heading back to Ford Field and the mental wear and tear seems like a lot to overcome. Detroit is experienced to play with the short turnaround even on Thursday afternoons because they play Thanksgiving every year, and while they could lose to a much better opponent, 9.5 coverage seems like a lot to ask of this Bills team given all they’re dealing with off the field. .

Why you should be careful:

The Bills’ offense could get pretty nuclear on the Lions’ defense, especially if cornerback Jeffrey Okuda misses the competition with a concussion. For what it’s worth, he tweeted “I’m good” after the game. Detroit allowed the Giants to gain 5.7 yards per game in Week 11, with quarterback Daniel Jones throwing for 341 yards and rushing for 50 yards.

Subscribe to PFF+ to keep reading

Already have a subscription? sign in

Leave a Reply

%d bloggers like this: