Nets vs. Raptors, Bulls vs. Bucks

We finally cracked our NBA picks versus the spread earlier this week, taking easy profits from the Cavaliers and Pelicans while failing with the Jazz as short road underdogs against the unpredictable Clippers.

Will the candidates achieve the same success again on Wednesday? Eight of the 11 hosts are BetMGM favourites, and we have our eyes on three of the home favorites in enviable venues for bettors.

Here’s a look at the teams we’re betting on on Wednesday night:

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Wednesday’s NBA Odds, Picks (via BetMGM)

  • Celtics -4.5 vs. Mavericks
  • Raptors -1.5 vs. Nets
  • -7.5 bucks for bucks
Jason Tatum #0 of the Boston Celtics fouled by Luka Doncic #77 of the Dallas Mavericks
Jason Tatum #0 of the Boston Celtics fouled by Luka Doncic #77 of the Dallas Mavericks
MediaNews Group via Getty Images

Analysis and prediction Celtics vs. Mavericks

That’s the perfect low-buy spot for the Celtics, who surprised many across the league with a 14-point loss Monday to the Bulls to close out a three-game road trip. Even with that score, this streak undercuts just how dominant this team is.

Prior to Monday’s loss, Boston had won nine straight and outscored opponents by 11.4 points per game over that stretch. This is no coincidence: the C’s are ranked third in net rating (+6.5) across the entire campaign and have won five or more points in 10 of their 17 games this season.

The Mavericks showed flashes of upside in the long run as Luka Doncic rounded MVP form, but they also lost to the Rockets and Nikola Jokic—no Nuggets over the past week—pulled their record to an NBA-worst 4-11-1 ATS. This is not the place to expect that to change against one of the best teams in the league.

Pick Celtics vs. Mavericks

Celtics -4.5 (BetMGM)

Analysis and Prediction of Birds of Prey vs. Nets

This isn’t so much about Brooklyn’s embarrassing loss Tuesday to a best-of-three Sixers, though that alone is enough to warrant concern here. Instead, this is just a brutal place for the Nets in a season that rarely went their way.

It’s hard to beat in Toronto, as the Raptors have a stellar 5-2 ATS home record this year — tied for the third-best mark in the NBA — and outscored teams by 6.4 points per game in those games. It’s hard to do that on the second night of consecutive One-Day Internationals the NBA tends to limit to about 10 times a year, on average.

As you can imagine, things often don’t go well. Teams in this spot are 14-21-1 ATS (40%) over the past five seasons, and the Nets are the first team to experience that status this year. Good luck with that one.

Pick Raptors vs. Nets

Raptors -1.5 (Caesar)

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Giannis Antikonmo
Giannis Antikonmo
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Bucks vs Bulls prediction and analysis

Few teams have dominated a series like the Bucks have dominated against the Bulls, who have struggled to keep up when these teams face off.

Since Giannis Antetokounmpo’s first All-Star campaign in 2016-17, Milwaukee has been 18-10 ATS against a division rival with a 23-5 record. It’s not like those games were particularly close: The Bucks outscored Chicago by an average of 11.5 points, with more than half of those 28 games decided by 13-point margins or more in their favor.

That includes three straight 16-point wins in this series dating back to last season when the Bulls were actually among the best NBA teams for most of the year. That hasn’t been the case this season, and I don’t see a change in their fortunes in this encounter either.

Bucks vs. Bulls pick

-7.5 bucks (fandel)

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