Kenneth Walker, Seahawks
Walker has scored in five of the past six games he’s started in his rookie season, so it’s no surprise that he’s the best scoring bet this week. Las Vegas, our fourth best game for opposing RBs, will bring -275 odds to find the end zone with him. After getting an incredible 87% of his snaps in Week 10, before Walker found himself on the sidelines, he will rarely find himself on the sidelines, and will get plenty of goal-line work to himself.
Jeff Wilson Jr., Dolphins
It didn’t take long for Wilson to usurp Raheem Mostert as a starter in Miami, and that’s good news for the owners, as Wilson faces the best game ever to oppose the RBs this week in Texas. If there was any question about Wilson’s pioneering role, it is answered in his use in comparison to Mostert. Wilson played 61% of the snaps in their previous game before the bye, while Mostert only played 28%. Wilson is poised to hit the end zone at least once in this game.
James Conner, Cardinals
The Cardinals’ opponent this week, the Chargers, has covered the pass really well – they’re our 10th worst game for opposing WRs in Week 12. The Chargers are our 3rd best game for opposing RBs this week, so Conner might have a little trouble finding lanes to the end zone. He’d scored in the previous two games and had a full collection of snaps since returning from injury, and Conner played 77% of the snaps in Week 11—only four players who appeared had more snaps. With a probability of scoring -125, Conner is close to locking.
Christian Kirk, Jaguar
Kirk caught a career-high seven TDs in Week 12 and was on a hot streak in his Week 11 bye, scoring three TDs in the previous two games. Kirk will look to continue his dynamic play against the Ravens which is our top 12 game for opposition WRs this week and perhaps more importantly, our third worst game for an opponent RB. We expect Jacksonville to rely heavily on Kirk, who is coming off a season-high 12 goals in his previous game.
STEFON DIGGS, Billing
It seems a given that we’ll find Diggs here again as the seasoned veteran WR is second in receiving TDs to only Davante Adams. Adams faces some tough skits against the Seahawks’ secondary this week, the sixth-worst game in the WR. But Diggs will be up against WR’s best match ever, the Lions. Vegas loves Diggs this week based on the game, as they gave him the best odds to score (-150) of any WR in Week 12. Diggs will almost certainly cross the goal line.
T Higgins, Bengals
Ja’Marr Chase is struggling day in and day out with a groin injury and it’s doubtful he’ll start this week, so I’m counting on Tee Higgins to play a key role against the Titans, our fourth best game to oppose the WRs in Week 12. Higgins failed to score in Week 11 with the sidelined Chase, but he led the team with nine catches for 148 yards and would be the #1 target again this week if Chase can’t go. An important factor in this game is that while the Titans are a top five competition at receiver, they are the second worst running back. Even if Chase makes a comeback, Higgins is still viable as he’s averaged eight goals a game since Week 2 and goes into Week 12 with 120 scoring chances.
This column was provided to the Associated Press by RosterWatch, www.rosterwatch.com.